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NPR: 8-point swing puts Romney in front

Home - by - October 31, 2012 - 13:00 America/New_York - 16 Comments

The Examiner

A new National Public Radio poll, which had President Obama leading Mitt Romney 51 percent to 44 percent four weeks ago, now has Mitt Romney on top, 48 percent to 47 percent, with the Republican benefiting from his debate performances.

The poll found that among likely voters, 34 percent said Romney’s debate performances made them more likely to vote for the challenger while 28 percent said they now are more likely to vote for the president. Among critical independent voters, though, Romney won big, with 37 percent saying they are now more likely to chose him compared to 21 percent for Obama.

But Democratic pollster Stanley Greenberg and Republican pollster Whit Ayres found that Obama leads by 4 points in the 12 battleground states that appear ready to pick the winner for the rest of the country next Tuesday. And they suggest that Romney’s post-debate surge has “stalled.”

The duo surveyed 1,000 likely voters nationwide with an over-sampling in 12 battleground states: Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin. The poll was conducted Tuesday through Thursday (October 23-25). The margin of error is 3 percentage points for the national sample, and 4.5 percentage points for the smaller subsample (462 respondents) in the battleground states. The sample was 35 percent Democrat, 31 percent Republican.

 

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» 16 Comments

  1. RANDO

    October 31st, 2012

    Well if NPR has Romney 8% ahead, it’s probably even more than that.

    Everybody ready for the riots?

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  2. CrustyB

    October 31st, 2012

    Romney wins the popular vote, Obama wins the electoral vote, whatever. Stupid modern Americans deserve whichever statist phony they elect.

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  3. Anonymous

    October 31st, 2012

    This is called “energizing the base” and is nothing more than a GOTV tactic. They’d report this if Barry was up by 5.

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  4. NoMoBo

    October 31st, 2012

    Geez, CrustyB, negative much? I think it’s going to be a Romney blowout.

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  5. deli doug

    October 31st, 2012

    hey, NPR, stay in your lane and report THIS:

    okay, so i’m going to a party tonite after all… grabbin a coupla big chunks of plywood and going as jim cantore

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  6. muddjuice (Absolutist)

    October 31st, 2012

    @ NoMoBo

    I agree and have been saying that here and everywhere for some time now.

    Still, I hate polls. Even if they favor what I like. I hate polls with a passion……….

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  7. Bad Brad

    October 31st, 2012

    Crusty may not be all that far off if you look at some of the electoral college maps. It’s enough to scare the heck out of you.

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  8. Noodengr

    October 31st, 2012

    caught a bit of Rush over lunch hour. His take is that some polls are deliberatly being skewed to show Obuma ahead, so that when the state goes for Romney, there will be grounds for a lawsuit saying the real vote must be off because it does not match the polls.
    He also added that obuma’s real work in the situation room was to plot these lawsuits with his lawyers while pretending to care about Sandy’s victims.
    Part of me wants to dismiss all that as way too farfetched. But somehow that seems like it could be all too true

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  9. CrustyB

    October 31st, 2012

    What Brad said. Would I love to see Obama and his cultists have their organic trade-friendly rainbow candles blown out by the wind of a non-Obama landslide? Hell yeah.

    Do I take the electoral votes for granted and forget how Bush/Gore 2000 went down? Do I look forward to a RINO administration? Not so much.

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  10. Bad Brad

    October 31st, 2012

    CrustyB:

    “Do I look forward to a RINO administration? Not so much.”

    Yea but, what we have right now is unlivable. How many small businesses will survive another 4 years of the man child. Not many. A Romney Pro business administration will get this country moving again and make life a lot more enjoyable for every citizen. Well maybe not Obama, but then again I did say citizen

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  11. CrustyB

    October 31st, 2012

    @Brad

    Yes, I’ve heard the “lesser of two evils, eat shit or die” argument a thousand times since I became a political nihilist over a year ago. I don’t particularly disagree. But that still doesn’t excuse the right-wing for failing to get behind a better candidate than Mitt Romneycare.

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  12. muddjuice (Absolutist)

    October 31st, 2012

    I’ll take a RINO Admin over a socialist regime right now. At least we can combat a RINO with logic. There’s no bargaining with socialism/islam/communism/etc……

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  13. muddjuice (Absolutist)

    October 31st, 2012

    @ Crusty

    I agree with you on that. But, the alternative is Obama. That’s enough for me at this point.

    Remember the democrats of old, the blue bloods that you could reason with? That’s what Romney is to me.

    I can reason with him. I can’t reason with Obama or his ilk. They are anti-American….

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  14. Bad Brad

    October 31st, 2012

    @Rando, I live in an area thats like white on rice on a paper plate in a blizzard, and I will have something loaded.

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  15. anonymoose

    October 31st, 2012

    NPR? Did Romney de-fund them already?

    Or is this their attempt to get in his good graces?

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  16. Rick

    October 31st, 2012

    anonymoose, it’s more like the polling organizations are hedging their bets, being in the “it’s just too close to call” mode when the election is over.

    Gotta have some credibility so’s they can get the same jobs next time around yannow.

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