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The Bellwether Tolls For Romney
Doug Ross
ANALYZING OHIO: A Bellwether District in a Bellwether County in a Bellwether State
Hamilton County — home to Cincinnati — sits in the southwest corner of Ohio. Election analysts have pointed to it as the single bellwether county for the state. It’s safe to say that as Hamilton County goes, so goes Ohio. And as Ohio goes, so goes the entire nation.
Why is Hamilton such a bellwether? Considerthe 2008 election, when Barack Obama won the state 51.2 percent to 47.2 over John McCain.
Hamilton County was the largest county in Ohio to model almost the exact 2008 statewide result, with Obama capturing 52.0 percent versus McCain’s 47.0. Montgomery County, home to the city of Dayton, also modeled the 2008 result with a 52.0 to 47.0 margin, but is substantially smaller than Hamilton County.
In 2008, the Ohio District 1 House race pitted Steve Driehaus against incumbent Republican Steve Chabot. Driehaus won by a margin of 3 points, a spread nearly identical to that of Obama at 51.5 to 48.5.
But in 2010, Chabot — with the rise of the Tea Party — won his seat back from Driehaus by 5 points,
Mountain Dog
October 21st, 2012
God Bless Mitt Romney, but I just got some fantastic news!! My daughter is bringing over an AK-47 she just bought so I have to go set up some targets before she gets here. Ain’t that great? I am so proud.
Later!
serfer62
October 21st, 2012
I don’t think I live in a bubble even though I live in Hawaii, But Mitts is gonna win reguardless of the CRNC, the RNC, The Establishment & other rinos.
OT…who made the AK-47? I think the Polish models are the best.
While in AK-47 armed Khanabad our S.O. guys had folding stocks that the locals lusted for, might even have traded a wife or two.
rangerairborne
October 21st, 2012
daytona beach is all Romney,
4 years ago every sign in town was for Obama,
this years biketoberfest I did not see a single Obama sign, the democraps are embarassed
rangerairborne
October 21st, 2012
AK is junk, inaccurate and heavy, my Daniel Defense M4 is a real badass
Mountain Dog
October 22nd, 2012
@serfer62
Made in Romania. Brand new condition. Stock is too short. You can fire the an AK for a long time without having to clean it and it will still function just the same. Kalashnikov designed it with loose tolerances for that very reason. Not so good for long shots though. Home defense — Yes. And easy on the pocketbook.
pissedpatriot30
October 22nd, 2012
Just curious… any of you folks worried about who else monitors these discussions? Just askin’….. I mean it “seems” that quite a few of the commentors seem to “bring” up the discussion of weapons. I don’t know who the F you are… Anyone else notice this?