Update: RNC says now over $1 million
What impact will the Supreme Court ruling on ObamaCare have on the presidential election? Perhaps one measure could be seen in its immediate aftermath:
According to Romney campaign spokeswoman Andrea Saul the Supreme Court decision upholding President Barack Obama’s healthcare reform law led to a windfall for Mitt Romney. Ms. Saul told The Politicker supporters donated at least $100,000 in the 50 minutes between the immediate aftermath of the ruling, which was issued at approximately 10:10 a.m.
Mr. Romney has already vowed to repeal the ruling if he is elected and some political watchers have speculated a decision to uphold the law would be good for Mr. Romney because it will allow him to energize conservatives by pushing for repeal. The rapid flood of donations to his campaign certainly bolsters the argument the decision could help Mr. Romney fire up supporters on the right.
Romney had run on the explicit promise to repeal ObamaCare. That certainly had fired up Tea Party activists, but they generally haven’t trusted Romney to get it done, especially given his own history on health-care mandates in Massachusetts. Daniel Halper wonders if this won’t fire them back up to fully support Romney as the only means possible to removing Obama from office:
With the Supreme Court’s decision to uphold Obamacare, the issue now shifts to the elected branches of government and raises this question: Will the intense opposition dissipate or will it lead to a fervent new effort to repeal the liberal health care law? …
Will the 5-4 decision revive the Tea Party? Will Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney make Obamacare the centerpiece of his campaign against Obama? Will GOP candidates do the same?
Unless the answer to those questions is “yes,” the court’s decision may turn out to be the pivotal moment in legitimizing Obamacare, improving its public support as reflected in opinion polls, and embedding it firmly into the American health care system.
My guess, for what it’s worth, is that the anti-Obamacare movement will recover and make health care the most salient issue in the 2012 campaign. Then its fate will depend on who wins the White House.